> #healthcare-planning > Assess the projected supply and projected demand of health personal in Nigeria(Is there need for paradigm shift in health care planning in Nigeria)?
Anonymous
Nov 16, 2023

Assess the projected supply and projected demand of health personal in Nigeria(Is there need for paradigm shift in health care planning in Nigeria)?

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Nov 16, 2023
To assess the projected supply and demand of health personnel in Nigeria, we need to consider several factors:

1. Population growth: Nigeria has a rapidly growing population, which is expected to reach 400 million by 2050. This will increase the demand for healthcare services and subsequently the need for health personnel.

2. Disease burden: Nigeria faces a high burden of communicable diseases such as malaria, HIV/AIDS, and tuberculosis, as well as non-communicable diseases like diabetes and cardiovascular diseases. This requires a sufficient supply of health personnel to provide adequate care and treatment.

3. Current health workforce: Nigeria currently has a shortage of health personnel, with a doctor-patient ratio of 1:5,000, which is well below the World Health Organization's recommendation of 1:600. Similarly, there is a shortage of nurses and midwives. This indicates a gap between the current supply and the projected demand.

4. Urban-rural disparity: There is a significant disparity in the distribution of health personnel between urban and rural areas. Most health professionals are concentrated in urban areas, leaving rural communities underserved. This further exacerbates the shortage of health personnel in rural areas.

5. Brain drain: Nigeria also faces the challenge of brain drain, where many qualified health professionals migrate to other countries in search of better opportunities and working conditions. This further reduces the supply of health personnel in the country.

Considering these factors, there is a clear need for a paradigm shift in healthcare planning in Nigeria. The current healthcare system is not adequately equipped to meet the projected demand for health personnel. The government should focus on the following strategies:

1. Increase training capacity: Nigeria needs to invest in expanding the capacity of medical and nursing schools to produce more health professionals. This includes increasing the number of training institutions and improving the quality of education.

2. Improve retention strategies: Efforts should be made to improve working conditions, salaries, and career development opportunities for health personnel. This will help reduce the brain drain and encourage health professionals to stay and work in Nigeria.

3. Strengthen primary healthcare: Emphasizing primary healthcare services can help alleviate the burden on tertiary care facilities and reduce the demand for specialized health personnel. This includes training and deploying more community health workers to provide basic healthcare services in rural areas.

4. Address rural-urban disparity: Policies should be implemented to incentivize health professionals to work in rural areas. This can include offering financial incentives, providing housing and transportation support, and improving infrastructure and facilities in rural healthcare centers.

In conclusion, Nigeria is facing a projected shortage of health personnel due to population growth, disease burden, and existing workforce challenges. A paradigm shift in healthcare planning is necessary to address this issue and ensure adequate supply of health personnel to meet the projected demand.
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